By Deng Bol Aruai Bol
![Deng Bol Arua, the Chairman of the Red Army Foundation. [Photo by Dolku media]](https://i0.wp.com/www.sudanspost.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/098D10D9-9E29-4BF1-8CBA-F0ED5D6B679B.png?quality=80&ssl=1)
Egypt is confused after finding out that almost all the South Sudanese people rejected their attempt to take over South Sudan. Judging from how they planned it, they had underestimated the intelligence and patriotism of the citizens, thinking that they would take anything thrown at them, just like their leaders had been doing.
As a result of this paradox, the following scenarios are most likely to take place in the future:
SCENARIO ONE
The scientific community and the majority of the South Sudanese people have to a more significant extent, voiced that dredging of rivers and digging of the Jonglei Canal won’t solve the problem of flooding; the only sticking South Sudanese interest. Instead, it will cause more disasters. As a result, the report, if not interfered with politically, will conclude that there will be no dredging and digging of the Jonglei Canal. Egypt will not be pleased with this decision.
It will devise ways to remove President Salva Kiir Mayardit and cause severe political and armed conflicts by exploiting the already fragile unity of the people. Egypt is capable of arming anti-government militias in Equatoria Region to disturb the government while creating and empowering warlords in Upper Nile and Bahr El Ghazal Regions. Through these warlords, Egypt could safely dredge the northern rivers and dig Jonglei Canal under community-based militias’ protection. At the same time, the government will struggle to hold on to Juba or with the high possibility of losing it.
SCENARIO TWO
Anyone who understands politics will agree that President Salva Kiir Mayardit is in a fix, sharing the government with rivals, non-cooperative peace partners, and many angry and hungry citizens threatening riots. R-ARCISS is not near completion for the elections, which is another worry for the President because if elections are not held in 2023, questions of legitimacy will come into play because the South Sudanese people will not allow another agreement extending the life of the Unity Government as ruling by agreements is not a popular option. I am unsure if an extension will be hot for a unity government that didn’t deliver much in six years of the ARCISS and R-ARCISS.
Being politically cornered will force any politician to make deals with the devil. To capture and maintain power, you need any available resources, and Egypt has presented itself as a very desirable ally – politically, diplomatically, economically, and militarily for the government. For any government or leader and as a matter of survival, choosing to give away water to Egypt in exchange for protection can’t be entirely ruled out.
For a country struggling to feed and protect its population, pay its army and civil servants, pay debts or build its infrastructure, and faced with numerous rebellions, I find it difficult to believe that President Salva Kiir Mayardit won’t politically alter the findings of the Public Consultations in favor of Egypt.
SCENARIO THREE
In the event President Salva Kiir Mayardit does not stand up to Egypt out of fear of the sabotage Egypt can cause him or losing Egypt’s vast resources being thrown at him, the citizens of South Sudan, including his loyalists and those already in opposition, are most likely to be united to save the virgin nation from being raped by Egypt. Suppose the fury of citizens shown in the last few weeks is something to go by, you can easily conclude that the South Sudanese people will not wave any white flag at the Government or Egypt if it’s indeed the Government that decided to sign off their natural resources to Egypt despite scientific warnings and objections.
It’s not difficult to imagine that civil society will solidify its “Kiir Must Go” slogan. If this feeds into the frustration of the struggling army, this could quickly spark an unstoppable uprising. Whether this uprising can succeed is not essential, but it can be costly in terms of human suffering. Should the uprisings succeed in capturing power, another unpredictable thing is that, if no unifying leaders emerge, regions will loosely break away, not necessarily working together, but organized and led by tribal or interest groups, perhaps driven by resources in certain areas.
The author is the chairman of Red Army Foundation, South Sudan.
The views expressed in the ‘OPINIONS & ANALYSIS’ section of Sudans Post are solely the opinions of the writers. The veracity of any claims made are the responsibility of the author not this website. If you want to submit an opinion piece or an analysis please email us here.
‘Opinion | Egypt’s next deadly move on South Sudan’
Yeah, says who?
Opinion | The healthcare we can trust’
Yaa Sudans Post propagandist pieces of creeps, be careful fellows. Trolling the websites or internet for South Sudanese sounding names and write your craps about South Sudan is not a good idea of low lives,
Sudans Post, you can post damn posts your piece of propaganda rubbish about South Sudan and the South Sudanese all you want, but you are wasting your damn times and South Sudanese people’s times. There is no way under the sun, we will ever again welcome anything that is connected to:
The devil worshipers, bloodsucking vampires, secret coteries, vermin/parasites/viruses/pests in our cloned so-called Arabs North Sudan, Abeshas (so-called ethiopian) prostitutes, Bantuses, white Americans, English people, their evil juus (so-called israelis) attack dogs, your gulf Arab states terrorist & financiers, gays, lesbians or LGBTQs, Italians, Irish, Indians, Pakistanis, Nepalese, Bangladeshis, Sri Lankans on the disguised or covert bullshits of Cabal AGENDA 21, now shifted to AGENDA 30, AGENDA 50, GOVERNMENT WITHOUT BORDERS, GOVERNMENT RUN BY THE UN, NGOs, HUMANITARIAN AID WORKERS, MERCENARIES (dressed up with UN attires) ALLEGEDLY TO PROMOTE DEMOCRACY, TO PROMOTE SO-CALLED RULE OF LAWS OR RULE BASED LAWS (what are they?), TO PROTECT SOUTH SUDAN CIVILIANS (from who?), TO PROTECT SOUTH SUDANESE HUMAN RIGHTS, WOMEN RIGHTS, GIRLS’ RIGHTS (from who?), GOVERNMENT RUN BY DONATIONS FROM FACELESS DONORS——–of multinationals, big corporations, big banking cartels, their subsidiaries and their massive mass media propaganda Machines (Sudans post included); who have stashed away their loots in tax havens or in shady countries of Kenya, Abesh (so-called ethiopia) prostitute, South Africa, Botswana, Rwanda, Nigeria, Senegal, Ghana and Morocco here in Africa; Tel Aviv (evil juus so-called israel) attack dog, the UAE and Turkey in Middle East.
Mumbai, India; Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; Bangkok, Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macao, China, Bali, Indonesia, Sydney, Australia and Asia and pacific, pivot to pacific’ anyone—–says Mr. Barack Hussein Obama, a secret cabal and lowly educated criminal and his bunch of cabal’ in the US states’ department.
That rising costs of living pressure, interest rate rises, lack of sunflower (cooking oil), grains (maize/corn/wheat), Sorghum or cattle, sheep, goats and lack of petroleum fuel/energy/gas, because of war in Ukraine, is affecting the most vulnerable countries around the world; mostly mostly the Sub-Saharan Africa, countries and especially South Sudan—-the so-called World newest nation, the world youngest country, the world poorest country, says who?
We are the Ancient Egyptians, we don’t like these cheap phrases *first Africans, first African Americans, first black so-so; in Europe, Asia, fellows, South or Latin Americas & Caribbean first so-so. We are too well ahead of pieces of nonsense. If your so-called Western civilization is going to survive our bombings, then we will give all the keys and we will be their slaves, once and for all. But for all I care, white race, will be wiped you out of map, once and for all, reasons, pure HATRED and RACISM*
White people who can dare challenge us don’t exist. However, Russians, Germans, Chinese, Scandinavian countries, minus Norway, can try their luck to challenge us, but they are wasting time.
This is not NOT COLD WAR—-IT IS A HOT WAR. South Sudan and South Sudanese people have taken sides, on behave Russia federations and China. The NATO tribe is not going to exist again. Take it or leave it.
‘All of our African countries are pieces of shits, Bantuses, don’t have lives, they worship Europeans, Americans, Arabs, evil juus (so-called isrealis) attack dogs, Indians, the UN, and the NGOs’
Our lowly informed South Sudanese, no one like a bad neigbour (s). Abesh (so-called ethiopia), our cloned so-called arab North Sudan, Abesh (so-called ethiopia) prostitute, Kenya, Rwanda, Djibouti, evil juus (so-called israel) attack dog and their gulf Arab Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait are not our allies or our equals, They are enemies and they are walkover and pee.
There is damn oil left in Saudi Arabi and gulf Arab states—-only here in Upper Nile. The evil juus (so-called israelis) attack dogs are not going to reach or New York, there will second Auschwitz and Holocaust, we have informed the low lives, to look for Manhattan project 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0
The devil worshipers, bloodsucking vampires, secret cabals, vermins/parasites/viruses/pests always Aus used a region, countries against countries, people against people——the end justifies the means——war of attrition on a selected country and people.
The devil worshipers, bloodsucking vampires, secret cabals, vermins/parasites/viruses/pests pick as their cheap targets to expand, their devil woeshiping, bloodsucking vampirism, secret cabalism, verminism/parasitism/virusism/pestism and intriguism.
But the devil worshipers, bloodsucking vampires, secret cabals, vermins/parasites/viruses/pests and their cheap and dirty inrrigues is not going to fly over South Sudan and the South Sudanese people, reasons, pure HATRED and RACISM.
AFRICA UNITY & REGIONAL INTEGRATION, so-called East Africa community (EAC), will be destroyed. Who would want to live sides by sides with Bantuses, white Americans, English couple, our cloned so-called arabs of North Sudan, Abeshas (so-called ethiopian) prostitutes, gulf Arab terrorists, Dutches (so-called Afrikaans), Portuguese, Italians, Irish, gays, lesbians or LGBTQs, Indians, Pakistanis, Bangladeshis, Nepalese, Sri Lankans in South Sudan?
It is not a bad idea to be good neighbours, but honestly we are sick to being used by pieces of shits which are not damn equals and whom we can walkover in a matter of a week and pee, as their geopolitical chess games or football, every ten (10) years, their banking cartel are about to bust. And that is precisely why it is always a good idea, not to just sign things and join shifty club with questionable characters behind them.
Here is example, Mr. Paul Kagame and his Rwanda is not part of IGAD——-Intergovernmental Authority for Development (IGAD) countries, he (Mr. Paul Kagame and his Rwanda) is part of East Africa Community (EAC), Commonwealth of Nations, the African Union (the AU), NEW WORLD ORDER GOVERNMENT (or one world government), GOVERNMENT WITHOUT BORDERS, GOVERNMENT OF RUN BY DONATIONS FROM FACELESS DONORS OR MERCENARIES.
Mr. Uhuru Kenyatta of Kenya, who is mafia family has amassed a lot money from Kenyans, and he has stashed a lot money in London and the US, Dubai, South Africa—–he was exposed on deeply his family is deep in the next of corruption in Kenya last years. But (he, Mr. Uhuru Kenyatta and his family shrugged it off—-nothing to see there). His Arch rival Mr. Raila Odinga, now ally, is another secret cabal, Mr. Raila Odinga and his Luo community have some relationship with South Sudanese people, here in our Nilotic plains and valleys, corruption is frown upon.
We are 100% egalitarian people, our ancestors got rid of Pharaohs eons ago, and we know the reasons, why. Here in our Nilotic plains and Valleys, you can own over 3000 herd of cattle, but you still have to share a table with someone with nothing or someone with 20 herd of cattle—-it is the way. Former Abesh (so-called ethiopian) prostitute, Mr. Hailemariam Desalegn a lowly educated piece of trash, he thought, he can pull his former boss, Mr. Meles Zenawi piece prank, his successor. Mr. Abiy Ahmed lowly life—–let his secret cabal handlers, give him another so-called Nobel peace prize. Mr. Barack Hussein Obama, Young Africa leadership initiative (Yali).
https://paanluelwel.com/2015/08/14/troika-and-igad-the-unholy-alliance-working-to-invade-south-sudan-in-pretext-of-bringing-peace/
Africa countries can join China, Russia, India, Brazil, South Africa (with no Dutch and English people) so-called BRIC countries, Asian countries, South America, and Caribbean countries and will give ‘Mortar and be motley countries’ But here in Africa, No one trust African counties—–Bantus countries.
Here in East Africa, Mr. Kagame, a lowly educated piece of shit, a terrorist (he was behind the 1994 genocide in Rwanda), a European and American, secret cabal and an attention seeker, he took his Rwanda to so-called Commonwealth of nations, however his country has nothing to do with England, Belgium Congo, that bullied them should have been the one to take his country to if he really honest to himself and Rwandan people. But the secret cabal was just desperate for White King /queen to be his master. Good luck to Rwanda & Mr. Paul Kagame, with house Windsor. All the Rwanda mercenaries here in Upper Nile,
will be killed and thrown into the Nile, they are piece shits. Former South African president Mr. Thabo Mbeki, a piece of lowlife, he was brought here to South Sudan by his cabal and handlers to come and convince our people to live sides by sides with Bantus, our cloned so-called Arabs of North Sudan, Abeshas (so-called ethiopian) prostitutes, white Americans, English people, evil juus (so-called israelis) attack dogs, Dutch, Portuguese, Italians, Irish, gays, lesbians or LGBTQs, Indians, Pakistanis, Bangladeshis, Nepalese or Sri Lanka like they lives sides by sides in South Africa——Bantustan or Rhodestan/Rhodeesia?
Former Tanzania president, Mr. Jakay Kikwete (what damn name?), former president of Kenya, Mr. Mwai Kibaki, current president of Kenya, Mr. Uhuru Kenyatta, his former arch rival turn ally, Mr Raila Odinga, former Nigerian president, Mr. Olusegun Obasanjo (we want a report from him, and this India criminal, Mr, Mahmood Mamdani——that the Jaangs/Jenges/Dinkas killed the Nuers in Juba on the 15/12/2013, simply because they were Nuers),
Former Abesh (so-called ethiopia) prostitute, Mr. Hailemariam Desalegn, his successor, Mr. Abiy Ahmed, late Meles Zenawi, Mr Soyoum Mesfin, former evil juus (so-called israel) Zionist piece of low life, Mr. Benjamin Netanyahu, former US President, Mr Barack H. Obama—-his former secretary of sates, Ms. Hillary Clinton, his former foreign policy advisor, Ms. Susan Rice, his former Ambassadress to South Sudan, Ms. Susan Paige, she was deep in neck in 15/12/2013 foiled coup attempt in Juba, South Sudan. Former United general Assembly or the UNSC, Mr. Ban Ki Moon.
Those pieces of low lives above, members of secret cabal and the agents of the so-called ONE WORLD GOVERNMENT. Our low lives of Mr. Riek Machar, Aduok Nyabe, their new recruits of Mr. Pagan Amum, Mr. Majak Agoot, Mr. Madut Biar, Uyai Deng Ajak, Tomas Cirillo and others are members of secret cabals; they have sold themselves.
That South Africa, Zimbabwe, Kenya, Abesh (so-called ethiopia) prostitute, Nigeria, Senegal, Ghana and Morocco in West Africa, would be made manufacturing hubs/centres), and that the Resources in South Sudan, Zimbabwe, Democratic republic Congo (DRC), would be used as collateral to prop up or secure loans for those so-called would be made manufacturing hubs/centres and that is to stem or stop Bantuses from West Africa from crossing Mediterranean sea to Spain, Sicily, Lampedusa, Malta to Mainland Europe and go and caused problem there.
Fellows look for a place to hide. Regional Integration.
https://paanluelwel.com/2015/07/22/can-the-law-in-the-white-house-be-applied-on-south-sudan/
Sorry UN, US, and EU Countries: The Expulsion of Toby Lanzer is Irreversible
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjct_zd9_T4AhUZnpUCHe6qDbwQFnoECAMQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fsudaneseonline.com%2Fboard%2F15%2Fmsg%2F1459876892.htm&usg=AOvVaw00yDwhRoa-OkLkGKAy9rDt
Fellows, there will be no damn US or so-called Western civilization, again. There will be NATO countries. We are going these sewers who is who on this planet earth. The Nile is control by owners. The Nile delta, is taken over by owners. Suez Canal will be closed by me>>>>
comrade chair i agree with you to some extent but disputed the claim that dredging is the problematic term which could cause president Kiir to exit power as you put it. To me a sounded leader of your caliber would rather talk of the humiliation we the red army had suffered in the hands of the previous liberators who think they are still repaying the hard times they might have experiences during struggle in the expenses of majority young generation who see their future robbed at their watch and tend to side with our predators in the name of tribe and interest. What really happened to our martyrs and unaccompanied minors who still lamenting in pain of what they had been promised to enjoy when we become independence. so in your capacity tell Mr. president that we feel betrayed and our tears seem to be the cause of why they are failing this country while squandering her resources in agony and worries